How can we predict the intensity of monsoon

The following points may help you:

a. We can predict intensity of monsoon depending on prevailing wind condition.
b. On the basis of ocean temperature and ocean currents,
c. Past data also helps in predicting intensity of monsoon.
d. El nino effect also impacts the intensity of monsoon,EL Nino is the event where the waters of the tropical central and Eastern pacific become warmer than normal. This has the effect of increasing rainfall in this general area, but over the Western Pacific air pressures tend to increase and suppress rainfall thus it is typically drier than average in that region. El Nino in India makes Monsoon weak.


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