A bag contains 4 white balls and 5 black balls. Another bag contains 3 white and 4 blak balls. A ball is taken out from the first bag and without seeing its colour is put in the second bag. A ball is taken out from the latter. Find the probability that the ball drawn is white.
A white colour ball can be drawn from the second bag in two mutually exclusive ways:
(1) By transferring a white ball from first beg to the second beg and the drawing a white ball from it
(2) By transferring a black ball from the first beg to the second beg and then drawing a white ball from it.
Let E1 , E2 and A be the events defined as follows
E1 = a white ball is transferred from first beg to the second
E2 = a black ball is transferred from first beg to the second.
A = a white ball is drawn from the second beg
Since first beg contains 4 white and 5 black balls, we have
If E1 has already occurred, i.e. a white ball has already been transferred from first beg to the second beg then the second beg contains 4 white and 4 black balls so
If E2 has already occurred i.e. a lack ball has been transferred from first beg to the second beg then second beg contains 3 white and 5 black balls so,
By the law of probability we have
P( Getting a white ball) = P (A) = P (E1) / P (A/E1) + P (E2) P (A/E2)