A bag contains 4 white balls and 5 black balls. Another bag contains 3 white and 4 blak balls. A ball is taken out from the first bag and without seeing its colour is put in the second bag. A ball is taken out from the latter. Find the probability that the ball drawn is white.

A white colour ball can be drawn from the second bag in two mutually exclusive ways:

(1) By transferring a white ball from first beg to the second beg and the drawing a white ball from it

(2) By transferring a black ball from the first beg to the second beg and then drawing a white ball from it.

 

Let E1 , E2 and A  be the events defined as follows

E1 = a white ball is transferred from first beg to the second

E2 = a black ball is transferred from first beg to the second.

A = a white ball is drawn from the second beg

 

Since first beg contains 4 white and 5 black balls, we have

 

If E1 has already occurred, i.e. a white ball has already been transferred from first beg to the second beg then the second beg contains 4 white and 4 black balls so

 

 

If E2 has already occurred i.e. a lack ball has been transferred from first beg to the second beg then second beg contains 3 white and 5 black balls so,

 

By the law of probability we have

P( Getting a white ball) = P (A) = P (E1) / P (A/E1) + P (E2) P (A/E2

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