for a,b&c the chances of being selected as manager of a firm are in the ratio 4:1:2 respectively . the respective probabilities for them to introduce a radical change in marketing strategy are 0.3,0.8,& 0.5 .if the change does takes place , find the probability that it is due to the appointment of B or C


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  • 19
if change occurs by B/C, it implies A does not get selected ie A`=3/7
by BAYES theorem,
P(A`)=3/7*07 / 4/7*0.3+1/7*0.8+2/7*0.5
        =0.7
i hope it helps...
  • -6
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